The Link Between Incomplete Information on the Interbank Network and Counterparty Risk
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The Link Between Incomplete Information on the Interbank Network and Counterparty Risk
Förster, Daniel | Walther, Martin
Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital, Vol. 52 (2019), Iss. 2 : pp. 213–227
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Dr. Daniel Förster: Technische Universität Berlin, Chair of Finance and Investment, Sec. H 64, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin,telephone: +49 30 314 28904, fax: +49 30 314 21125
Dr. Martin Walther (corresponding author): Technische Universität Berlin, Chair of Finance and Investment, Sec. H 64, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany, telephone: +49 30 314 28904, fax: +49 30 314 21125
References
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Acharya, V. V./Yorulmazer, T. (2008): Information contagion and bank herding. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 40(1), pp. 215–231.
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Adrian, T./Estrella, A. (2010): Financial intermediaries and monetary economics. Handbook of Monetary Economics, Vol. 3, Elsevier, pp. 601–650.
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Adrian, T./Shin, H. S. (2008): Financial intermediary leverage and value-at-risk. Staff report no. 228, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Google Scholar -
Allen, F./Babus, A./Carletti, E. (2012): Asset commonality, debt maturity and systemic risk. Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 104(3), pp. 519–534.
Google Scholar -
Allen, F./Gale, D. (2000): Financial Contagion. Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 108 (1), pp. 1–33.
Google Scholar -
Blanchard, O. (2009): The crisis: basic mechanisms and appropriate policies. International Monetary Fund.
Google Scholar -
Boss, M./Elsinger, H./Summer, M./Thurner, S. (2004): Network topology of the interbank market. Quantitative Finance, Vol. 4(6), pp. 677–684.
Google Scholar -
Brusco, S./Castiglionesi, F. (2007): Liquidity coinsurance, moral hazard, and financial contagion. The Journal of Finance, Vol. 62(5), pp. 2275–2302.
Google Scholar -
Caballero, R. J./Simsek, A. (2013): Fire Sales in a Model of Complexity. The Journal of Finance, Vol. 68 (6), pp. 2549–2587.
Google Scholar -
Cocco, J. F./Gomes, F. J./Martins, N. C. (2009): Lending relationships in the interbank market. Journal of Financial Intermediation, Vol. 18(1), pp. 24–48.
Google Scholar -
Dasgupta, A. (2004): Financial contagion through capital connections: A model of the origin and spread of bank panics. Journal of the European Economic Association, Vol. 2(6), pp. 1049–1084.
Google Scholar -
Diamond, D. W./Dybvig, P. H. (1983): Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity. Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 91(3), pp. 401–419.
Google Scholar -
Diamond, D. W./Rajan, R. G. (2011): Fear of fire sales, illiquidity seeking, and credit freezes. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 126 (2), pp. 557–591.
Google Scholar -
Förster, D. (2016): Schockverstärkung durch Insolvenzkaskaden in Bankensystemen. Berlin, Callsen-Bracker Verlag.
Google Scholar -
Freixas, X./Parigi, B. M./Rochet, J. C. (2000): Systemic risk, interbank relations, and liquidity provision by the central bank. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 32, pp. 611–638.
Google Scholar -
Furfine, C. (2003): Interbank exposures: Quantifying the risk of contagion. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Vol. 35(1), pp. 111–128.
Google Scholar -
Gale, D./Yorulmazer, T. (2013): Liquidity hoarding. Theoretical Economics, Vol. 8 (2), pp. 291–324.
Google Scholar -
Kiyotaki, N./Moore, J. (1997): Credit cycles. Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 105(2), pp. 211–248.
Google Scholar -
Liu, Z./Quiet, S./Roth, B. (2015): Banking sector interconnectedness: what is it, how can we measure it and why does it matter? Working paper.
Google Scholar -
Morris, S./Shin, H. S. (2004): Liquidity black holes. Review of Finance, Vol. 8(1), 1–18.
Google Scholar -
Shleifer, A./Vishny, R. W. (1992): Liquidation values and debt capacity: A market equilibrium approach. The Journal of Finance, Vol. 47(4), pp. 1343–1366.
Google Scholar -
Upper, C./Worms, A. (2004): Estimating bilateral exposures in the German interbank market: Is there a danger of contagion? European Economic Review, Vol. 48(4), pp. 827–849.
Google Scholar -
Wagner, W. (2010): Diversification at financial institutions and systemic crises. Journal of Financial Intermediation, Vol. 19(3), pp. 373–386.
Google Scholar
Abstract
This paper describes a model in which a network of interbank loans leads to a severe amplification of the previously unanticipated insolvency of one bank. Banks that cannot rule out an indirect hit react by selling assets and hoarding liquidity. While this potentially lowers illiquidity risks, it depresses market liquidity and prices. This leads to a negative externality by which sales to acquire liquidity simultaneously lead to lower global sale proceeds and thus to a greater number of insolvencies inducing deadweight losses. Thus, the distribution of information on the network has a direct impact on welfare by itself.