Is Now the Time for Modern Monetary Theory or Permanent Monetary Finance?
JOURNAL ARTICLE
Cite JOURNAL ARTICLE
Style
Format
Is Now the Time for Modern Monetary Theory or Permanent Monetary Finance?
Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital, Vol. 54 (2021), Iss. 1 : pp. 17–36
1 Citations (CrossRef)
Additional Information
Article Details
Author Details
Prof. Dr. Olaf Schlotmann, Brunswick European Law School; Ostfalia Hochschule für angewandte Wissenschaften, Salzdahlumer Str. 46/48, 38302 Wolfenbüttel.
Cited By
-
Modern Monetary Theory, Fiscal Dominance and the European Central Bank
Prinz, Aloys
Beck, Hanno
Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital, Vol. 55 (2022), Iss. 4 P.431
https://doi.org/10.3790/ccm.55.4.431 [Citations: 0]
References
-
Alesina, A./Passalacqua, A. (2015): The Political Economy of Government Debt. NBER Working Paper 21821, December 2015.
Google Scholar -
Bailey, A. (2020): Bank of England is not doing monetary financing. Financial Times, April 16, 2020.
Google Scholar -
Bartsch, E./Boivin, J./Fischer, S./Hildebrand, P. (2019): Dealing with the next downturn: From unconventional monetary policy to unprecedented policy coordination. SURF Policy Note, Issue 105, Blackrock Investment Institute, October 2019.
Google Scholar -
Bernanke, B. S. (2009): Ben Bernanke’s greatest challenge, CBS Interview, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Borio, C./Disyatat, P./Zabai, A. (2016): Helicopter money: The illusion of a free lunch. Vox CEPR Policy Portal, https://voxeu.org/article/helicopter-money-illusion-free-lunch, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Brunnermeier, M./Koby, Y. (2016): The “Reversal Rate”: Effective Lower Bound on Monetary Policy, presented at the BIS research network meeting, March 14, 2016. https://www.bis.org/events/confresearchnetwork1603/brunnermeier.pdf.
Google Scholar -
Buiter, W. H./Mann, C. L. (2019): Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). Citibank Global Perspectives and Solutions, https://www.citivelocity.com/citigps/modern-monetary-theory-mmt/, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Deutsche Bundesbank (2018): The market for Federal securities: holder structure and the main drivers of yield movement. Monthly Report, pp. 15–38, July 2018.
Google Scholar -
Fullwiler, S./Grey, R./Tankus, N. (2019): An MMT Response on what causes inflation. Financial Times Alphaville, March 1, 2019, https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2019/03/01/1551434402000/An-MMT-response-on-what-causes-inflation/ (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Giles, C. (2020a): Bank of England to directly finance extra government spending. Financial Times, April 9 2020.
Google Scholar -
Giles, C. (2020b): BoE risks losing credibility, warns former deputy governor. Financial Times, June 25 2020.
Google Scholar -
Gros, D. (2016): Negative Rates and Seigniorage: Turning the central bank business model upside down? The special case of the ECB. CEPS Policy Brief, No 344, July 2016, https://www.ceps.eu/ceps-publications/negative-rates-and-seigniorage-turning-central-bank-business-model-upside-down-special/ (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Jones, C. (2020): The Fed abandons the idea low unemployment stokes inflation. Financial Times, September 03, 2020.
Google Scholar -
Kelton, S. (2019a): Modern Monetary Theory is Not a Recipe for Doom. Bloomberg, February 21, 2019 (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Kelton, S. (2019b): Paul Krugman Asked Me About Modern Monetary Theory. Here are 4 Answers. Bloomberg, March 1, 2019 (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Kelton, S. (2020): The Deficit Myth. New York: Hachette Book Group.
Google Scholar -
Kelton, S./Smith, N. (2018): Just When Should We Start Worrying About Deficits?. Bloomberg, September 24, 2018 (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
King, M. (2016): The End of Alchemy. London: Little Brown.
Google Scholar -
Kocherlakota, N. (2016): Helicopter Money’ Won’t Provide Much Extra Lift. Bloomberg, March 24, 2016 (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Lerner, A. P. (1943): Functional Finance and the Federal Debt. Social Research, Vol. 10(1), 38–51, February 1943.
Google Scholar -
Mankiw, N. G. (2020): A Sceptic’s Guide to Modern Monetary Theory. Harvard University, December 2019, https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/mankiw/files/skeptics_guide_to_modern_monetary_theory.pdf, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Mitchell, B. (2020): It’s Modern Monetary Theory time! No, it always has been. Blog post, http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=44547 (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Mitchell, W./Wray, L. R./Watts, M. (2019). Macroeconomics. London: Red Globe Press.
Google Scholar -
Nersisyan, Y./Wray, L. R. (2020): The Myth of “Helicopter Money”. Project Syndicate, April 20, https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/modern-monetary-theory-is-not-helicopter-money-by-yeva-nersisyan-and-l-randall-wray-2020-04, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Robb, G. (2020): What Modern Monetary Theory gets “plain wrong,” according to former IMF chief economist. Market Watch, June 11, https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-modern-monetary-theory-gets-plain-wrong---former-imf-chief-economist-2019-06-11, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Rogoff, K. (2020): Fantasy Fiscal Policy. Project Syndicate, February 3, https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/resisting-risky-fiscal-policy-by-kenneth-rogoff-2020-02, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Sandbu, M. (2020): Coronavirus: the moment for helicopter money. Financial Times, March 20, 2020.
Google Scholar -
Schumpeter, J. A. (2010): Nature and Essence of Economic Theory. New York: Taylor & Francis Inc.
Google Scholar -
Tett, G. (2020): Toilet rolls and treasury bonds tell the same panicked story. Financial Times, March 18, 2020.
Google Scholar -
The Economist (2019): Free exchange – Is modern monetary theory nutty or essential. March 14, 2019.
Google Scholar -
The Economist (2020a): Briefing – Building up the pillars of state, Rich countries try radical economic policies to counter covid-19. March 28, 2020.
Google Scholar -
The Economist (2020b): Leaders – Everything’s under control. The state in the time of covid-19. March 28, 2020 March 26, 2020 (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Tymoigne, E. (2016): Money and Banking – Part 6: Treasury and Central Bank Interactions. New Economic Perspectives, http://neweconomicperspectives.org/2016/02/money-banking-part-6.html, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Tymoigne, E./Wray, L. R.. (2013): Modern Monetary Theory 101: A Reply to Critics. Levy Economics Institute of Bard College, Working Paper No. 778, November 2013.
Google Scholar -
Yashiv, E. (2020): Breaking the taboo: The political economy of COVID-motivated helicopter drops. Vox CEPR Policy Portal, https://voxeu.org/article/political-economy-covid-motivated-helicopter-drops, last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Wolf, M. (2019): States create useful money, but abuse it. Financial Times, May 28, 2019.
Google Scholar -
Wolf, M. (2020): Monetary financing demands careful and sober management. Financial Times, April 9, 2020.
Google Scholar -
Alesina, A./Passalacqua, A. (2015): The Political Economy of Government Debt. NBER Working Paper 21821, December 2015.
Google Scholar -
Bailey, A. (2020): Bank of England is not doing monetary financing. Financial Times, April 16, 2020.
Google Scholar -
Deutsche Bundesbank (2018): The market for Federal securities: holder structure and the main drivers of yield movement. Monthly Report, pp. 15–38, July 2018.
Google Scholar -
Fullwiler, S./Grey, R./Tankus, N. (2019): An MMT Response on what causes inflation. Financial Times Alphaville, March 1, 2019, https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2019/03/01/1551434402000/An-MMT-response-on-what-causes-inflation/ (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Giles, C. (2020a): Bank of England to directly finance extra government spending. Financial Times, April 9 2020.
Google Scholar -
Giles, C. (2020b): BoE risks losing credibility, warns former deputy governor. Financial Times, June 25 2020.
Google Scholar -
Jones, C. (2020): The Fed abandons the idea low unemployment stokes inflation. Financial Times, September 03, 2020.
Google Scholar -
Kelton, S. (2019a): Modern Monetary Theory is Not a Recipe for Doom. Bloomberg, February 21, 2019 (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Kelton, S. (2019b): Paul Krugman Asked Me About Modern Monetary Theory. Here are 4 Answers. Bloomberg, March 1, 2019 (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Kelton, S. (2020): The Deficit Myth. New York: Hachette Book Group.
Google Scholar -
Mitchell, B. (2020): It’s Modern Monetary Theory time! No, it always has been. Blog post, http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=44547 (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Bartsch, E./Boivin, J./Fischer, S./Hildebrand, P. (2019): Dealing with the next downturn: From unconventional monetary policy to unprecedented policy coordination. SURF Policy Note, Issue 105, Blackrock Investment Institute, October 2019.
Google Scholar -
Kelton, S./Smith, N. (2018): Just When Should We Start Worrying About Deficits?. Bloomberg, September 24, 2018 (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Nersisyan, Y./Wray, L. R. (2020): The Myth of “Helicopter Money”. Project Syndicate, April 20, https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/modern-monetary-theory-is-not-helicopter-money-by-yeva-nersisyan-and-l-randall-wray-2020-04, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
The Economist (2020b): Leaders – Everything’s under control. The state in the time of covid-19. March 28, 2020 March 26, 2020 (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
The Economist (2020a): Briefing – Building up the pillars of state, Rich countries try radical economic policies to counter covid-19. March 28, 2020.
Google Scholar -
Kocherlakota, N. (2016): Helicopter Money’ Won’t Provide Much Extra Lift. Bloomberg, March 24, 2016 (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
King, M. (2016): The End of Alchemy. London: Little Brown.
Google Scholar -
Tett, G. (2020): Toilet rolls and treasury bonds tell the same panicked story. Financial Times, March 18, 2020.
Google Scholar -
Robb, G. (2020): What Modern Monetary Theory gets “plain wrong,” according to former IMF chief economist. Market Watch, June 11, https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-modern-monetary-theory-gets-plain-wrong---former-imf-chief-economist-2019-06-11, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Rogoff, K. (2020): Fantasy Fiscal Policy. Project Syndicate, February 3, https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/resisting-risky-fiscal-policy-by-kenneth-rogoff-2020-02, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Sandbu, M. (2020): Coronavirus: the moment for helicopter money. Financial Times, March 20, 2020.
Google Scholar -
Schumpeter, J. A. (2010): Nature and Essence of Economic Theory. New York: Taylor & Francis Inc.
Google Scholar -
Tymoigne, E. (2016): Money and Banking – Part 6: Treasury and Central Bank Interactions. New Economic Perspectives, http://neweconomicperspectives.org/2016/02/money-banking-part-6.html, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Tymoigne, E./Wray, L. R.. (2013): Modern Monetary Theory 101: A Reply to Critics. Levy Economics Institute of Bard College, Working Paper No. 778, November 2013.
Google Scholar -
Bernanke, B. S. (2009): Ben Bernanke’s greatest challenge, CBS Interview, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Borio, C./Disyatat, P./Zabai, A. (2016): Helicopter money: The illusion of a free lunch. Vox CEPR Policy Portal, https://voxeu.org/article/helicopter-money-illusion-free-lunch, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Brunnermeier, M./Koby, Y. (2016): The “Reversal Rate”: Effective Lower Bound on Monetary Policy, presented at the BIS research network meeting, March 14, 2016. https://www.bis.org/events/confresearchnetwork1603/brunnermeier.pdf.
Google Scholar -
Buiter, W. H./Mann, C. L. (2019): Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). Citibank Global Perspectives and Solutions, https://www.citivelocity.com/citigps/modern-monetary-theory-mmt/, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Lerner, A. P. (1943): Functional Finance and the Federal Debt. Social Research, Vol. 10(1), 38–51, February 1943.
Google Scholar -
Mitchell, W./Wray, L. R./Watts, M. (2019). Macroeconomics. London: Red Globe Press.
Google Scholar -
Yashiv, E. (2020): Breaking the taboo: The political economy of COVID-motivated helicopter drops. Vox CEPR Policy Portal, https://voxeu.org/article/political-economy-covid-motivated-helicopter-drops, last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Wolf, M. (2020): Monetary financing demands careful and sober management. Financial Times, April 9, 2020.
Google Scholar -
Gros, D. (2016): Negative Rates and Seigniorage: Turning the central bank business model upside down? The special case of the ECB. CEPS Policy Brief, No 344, July 2016, https://www.ceps.eu/ceps-publications/negative-rates-and-seigniorage-turning-central-bank-business-model-upside-down-special/ (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
Mankiw, N. G. (2020): A Sceptic’s Guide to Modern Monetary Theory. Harvard University, December 2019, https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/mankiw/files/skeptics_guide_to_modern_monetary_theory.pdf, (last retrieved September 28, 2020).
Google Scholar -
The Economist (2019): Free exchange – Is modern monetary theory nutty or essential. March 14, 2019.
Google Scholar -
Wolf, M. (2019): States create useful money, but abuse it. Financial Times, May 28, 2019.
Google Scholar
Abstract
In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, G7 central banks have launched asset purchase programs in anticipation of an increase in government bond offerings to finance ballooning fiscal deficits. As the volume of government bonds owned by private investors is not expected to rise during the current crisis, these programs will amount to a monetization of large additional debt. The idea that the government sells bonds to the central bank or issues money by literally spending it into existence also plays a key role in Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), the concept of helicopter money and the idea of permanent monetary finance. This article subjects key aspects of MMT to critical examination and shows, using MMT’s own balance sheet analysis, that the theory is almost always contradicted by the actual workings of the modern credit economy. In fact, MMT seems to be a collection of prescriptive ideas that dictate how things should function as opposed to how they actually do.