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Almekinders, G. Theories on the Scope for Foreign Exchange Market Intervention. Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital, 27(3), 363-395. https://doi.org/10.3790/ccm.27.3.363
Almekinders, Geert J. "Theories on the Scope for Foreign Exchange Market Intervention" Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital 27.3, 1994, 363-395. https://doi.org/10.3790/ccm.27.3.363
Almekinders, Geert J. (1994): Theories on the Scope for Foreign Exchange Market Intervention, in: Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital, vol. 27, iss. 3, 363-395, [online] https://doi.org/10.3790/ccm.27.3.363

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Theories on the Scope for Foreign Exchange Market Intervention

Almekinders, Geert J.

Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital, Vol. 27 (1994), Iss. 3 : pp. 363–395

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Article Details

Author Details

Geert J. Almekinders, Tilburg

References

  1. Allen, H., and Taylor, M. P., “Charts, Noise and Fundamentals in the Foreign Exchange Market”, Economic Journal, 1990, 100 (supplement): 49 - 59.  Google Scholar
  2. Almekinders, G. J., Foreign Exchange Intervention - Theory and Evidence, Edward Elgar, Aldershot, 1995.  Google Scholar
  3. Almekinders, G. J., and Eijffinger, S. C. W., “Empirical Evidence on Foreign Exchange Market Intervention: Where Do We Stand?”, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 1991, 127: 645 - 677.  Google Scholar

Abstract

This paper traces out recent developments in modeling foreign exchange market intervention. The central question is whether and how intervention is able to influence the course of the exchange rate. The channels of influence of unsterilized and sterilized intervention in some well-established models of exchange rate determination are set out. Furthermore, the mechanics of foreign exchange market intervention in some recent studies are analysed. These studies adhere to the assumption that the foreign exchange market is efficient in the sense that market participants use some structural model as a yardstick when taking positions on the foreign exchange market. Finally, some alternative approaches to the study of foreign exchange intervention are discussed. The latter approaches drop the assumption that the foreign exchange market is efficient.

Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
Geert J. Almekinders: Theories on the Scope\rfor Foreign Exchange Market Intervention 363
I. Introduction 363
II. Intervention and Sterilization: The Basics 364
III. The Flow Approach to Exchange Rate Determination 366
1. Purchasing power parity 366
2. The Mundell-Fleming model 367
a) The standard Mundell-Fleming model and intervention 367
b) (Un)sterilized intervention in Black's (1985) flow model 368
IV. The Asset Market Approach to Exchange Rate Determination 371
1. Introduction 371
2. The flexible-price monetary model 371
3. The sticky-price monetary model 373
a) The standard sticky-price monetary model and intervention 373
b) Unsterilized intervention in Djajic and Bazzoni's (1992) sticky-price model 375
c) (Partly) sterilized intervention in Natividad and Stone's (1990) sticky-price model 378
4. The portfolio balance model 380
a) The standard portfolio balance model and intervention 380
b) Unsterilized intervention in the portfolio model by Moreno and Yin (1992) 382
c) Sterilized intervention in Blundell-Wignall and Masson's (1985) model 384
5. Stock-flow interaction in portfolio models of exchange rate determination 386
V. Alternative Approaches to the Study of Forex Intervention 387
1. Introduction 387
2. De Grauwe's (1989) near-rationality model 387
3. Chartist channel and noise trading signaling channel of intervention 389
VI. Conclusions 391
References 392
Summary: Theories on the Scope for Foreign Exchange Market Intervention 394
Zusammenfassung: Theorien zum Spielraum für Interventionen am Devisenmarkt 394
Résumé: Théories sur la portée des interventions sur les marchés des changes 395