Financial Deregulation and the Stability of the Demand for Money in Australia
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Financial Deregulation and the Stability of the Demand for Money in Australia
de Haan, Jakob | Zelhorst, Dick
Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital, Vol. 24 (1991), Iss. 3 : pp. 319–331
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Jakob de Haan, Groningen/Netherlands
Dick Zelhorst, Groningen/Netherlands
References
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Google Scholar -
Perron, P. (1988): “Trends and Random Walks in Macroeconomic Times Series. Further Evidence from a New Approach”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, 297 - 332.
Google Scholar -
Phillips, P.C.B. (1987): “Time Series Regression With a Unit Root”, Econometrica, 55, 277 - 301.
Google Scholar -
Phillips, P.C.B.; Ouliaris, S. (1990): “Asymptotic Properties of Residual Based Tests for Cointegration”, Econometrica, 58, 165 - 193.
Google Scholar -
Phillips, P.C.B.; Perron, P. (1988): “Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression”, Biometrika, 75, 335 -346.
Google Scholar -
Polasek, M.; Lewis, M.K. (1985): “Australia’s Transition from Crawling Peg to Floating Exchange Rate”, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, no. 153, 187 -203.
Google Scholar -
Sargan, J.D. (1964): “Wages and Prices in the United Kingdom: A Study in Econometric Methodology”, first published in Hart, P.E.; Mills, G. and Whitaker, J.K. (eds.): Econometric Analysis for National Economic Planning, 25 - 54, London: Butterworth.
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Sharpe, 1.G.; Volker, P.A. (1979): “The Impact of Institutional Changes on the Australian Short-Run Money Demand Function”, Kredit und Kapital, 12, 101 - 120.
Google Scholar -
Swamy, P.A.V.B.; Tavlas, G.S. (1989): “Financial Deregulation, the Demand for Money, and Monetary Policy in Australia”, IMF Staff Papers, 31, 63 -101.
Google Scholar -
Trehan, B. (1988): “The Practice of Monetary Targeting: A Case Study of the West German Experience”, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Economic Review, Spring, 30 - 44.
Google Scholar -
Cesar, H.; de Haan, J.; Jacobs, J. (1990): “Monetary Targeting in the Netherlands”, Applied Economics, 22, 1537 – 1548.
Google Scholar -
Corden, W.M. (1989): “Australian Macroeconomic Policy Experience”, The Economic Record, 65, 152 – 164.
Google Scholar -
Dickey, D.A.; Fuller, W.A. (1981): “Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root”, Econometrica, 49, 1057 – 1072.
Google Scholar -
Engle, R.F.; Granger, C.W.J. (1987): “Cointegration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing”, Econometrica, 55, 251 – 276.
Google Scholar -
Friedman, B.M. (1988): “Monetary Policy Without Quantity Variables”, American Economic Review (papers), 78, 440 – 445.
Google Scholar -
Fuller, W.A. (1976): Introduction to Statistical Time Series, New York: John Wiley & Sons.
Google Scholar -
Goodhart, C.A. (1989): “The Conduct of Monetary Policy”, The Economic Journal, 99, 293 – 346.
Google Scholar -
Granger, C.W.J. (1986): “Developments in the Study of Cointegrated Economic Variables”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 48, 213 – 228.
Google Scholar -
Hall, M.J.B. (1985): “Financial Deregulation and Monetary Policy in Australia”, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, no. 154, 261 – 277.
Google Scholar -
Hoa, T.V. (1982): “Extended Power Modulus Transformations of the Demand-for-Money Functions for West Germany and Australia: An International Comparison”, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 118, 563 – 570.
Google Scholar -
Hunt, B.F.; Volker, P.A. (1981): “A Simplified Portfolio Analysis of the Long-Run Demand for Money in Australia”, Journal of Monetar Economics, 8, 395 – 404.
Google Scholar -
Judd, J.P.; Scadding, J.L. (1982): “The Search for a Stable Money Demand Function: A Survey of the Post-1973 Literature”, Journal of Economic Literature, 20, 993 – 1023.
Google Scholar -
Jüttner, D.J.;, Tuckwell, R.H. (1974): “Partial Adjustment, Multiple Expectations and the Demand for Money in Australia”, Kredit und Kapital, 7, 48 – 68.
Google Scholar -
Kannjainen, V., Tarkka, J. (1986): “On the Shock-Absorptio View of Money: International Evidence from the 1960s and 1970s”, Applied Economics, 18, 1085 – 1101.
Google Scholar -
Milbourne, R. (1983): “Price Expectations and the Demand for Money: Resolution of a Paradox”, Review of Economics and Statistics, 65, 633 – 638. -
Google Scholar -
OECD (1979): Monetary Targets and Inflation Control, Paris.
Google Scholar -
OECD (1983): OECD Economic Surveys Australia, Paris.
Google Scholar -
OECD (1987): OECD Economic Surveys Australia, Paris.
Google Scholar -
Pagan, A.R.; Volker, P.A. (1981): “The Short-Run Demand for Transaction Balances in Australia”, Economica, 48, 381 – 395.
Google Scholar -
Perron, P. (1988): “Trends and Random Walks in Macroeconomic Times Series. Further Evidence from a New Approach”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, 297 – 332.
Google Scholar -
Phillips, P.C.B. (1987): “Time Series Regression With a Unit Root”, Econometrica, 55, 277 – 301.
Google Scholar -
Phillips, P.C.B.; Ouliaris, S. (1990): “Asymptotic Properties of Residual Based Tests for Cointegration”, Econometrica, 58, 165 – 193.
Google Scholar -
Phillips, P.C.B.; Perron, P. (1988): “Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression”, Biometrika, 75, 335 -346.
Google Scholar -
Polasek, M.; Lewis, M.K. (1985): “Australia’s Transition from Crawling Peg to Floating Exchange Rate”, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, no. 153, 187 -203.
Google Scholar -
Sargan, J.D. (1964): “Wages and Prices in the United Kingdom: A Study in Econometric Methodology”, first published in Hart, P.E.; Mills, G. and Whitaker, J.K. (eds.): Econometric Analysis for National Economic Planning, 25 – 54, London: Butterworth.
Google Scholar -
Sharpe, 1.G.; Volker, P.A. (1979): “The Impact of Institutional Changes on the Australian Short-Run Money Demand Function”, Kredit und Kapital, 12, 101 – 120.
Google Scholar -
Swamy, P.A.V.B.; Tavlas, G.S. (1989): “Financial Deregulation, the Demand for Money, and Monetary Policy in Australia”, IMF Staff Papers, 31, 63 -101.
Google Scholar -
Trehan, B. (1988): “The Practice of Monetary Targeting: A Case Study of the West German Experience”, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Economic Review, Spring, 30 – 44.
Google Scholar
Abstract
Financial Deregulation and the Stability of the Demand for Money in Australia
A common feature of most studies on the demand for money is that a long-run equilibrium money demand function is presumed beforehand. Recently, however, there has been a shift from presuming this relationship towards searching for it by testing whether monetary aggregates are cointegrated with key macroeconomic variables like GDP and the interest rate. In this paper we examine for the case of Australia whether Ml and M3 are cointegrated with these macroeconomic variables. It turns out that for the sample period 1960.1 – 1989.2 neither Ml nor M3 is cointegrated with key macroeconomic variables. However, in the period 1960.1 – 1983.4 – i.e. before various deregulation measures took place – there is evidence suggesting that M3 was cointegrated with real GDP and the interest rate.