Menu Expand

Cite JOURNAL ARTICLE

Style

Klein, M. Ist die Theorie effizienter Märkte empirisch widerlegt?. Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital, 16(1), 126-140. https://doi.org/10.3790/ccm.16.1.126
Klein, Martin "Ist die Theorie effizienter Märkte empirisch widerlegt?" Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital 16.1, 1983, 126-140. https://doi.org/10.3790/ccm.16.1.126
Klein, Martin (1983): Ist die Theorie effizienter Märkte empirisch widerlegt?, in: Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital, vol. 16, iss. 1, 126-140, [online] https://doi.org/10.3790/ccm.16.1.126

Format

Ist die Theorie effizienter Märkte empirisch widerlegt?

Klein, Martin

Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital, Vol. 16 (1983), Iss. 1 : pp. 126–140

2 Citations (CrossRef)

Additional Information

Article Details

Klein, Martin

Cited By

  1. Probleme der Theorie effizienter Märkte und ihrer empirischen Überprüfung

    Manfred, Neumann, | Martin, Klein,

    Credit and Capital Markets - Kredit und Kapital, Vol. 15 (1982), Iss. 2 P.165

    https://doi.org/10.3790/ccm.15.2.165 [Citations: 1]
  2. Kapitalmarkteffizienz und Point & Figure Analyse

    Hauschild, Karsten | Winkelmann, Michael

    Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital, Vol. 18 (1985), Iss. 2 P.240

    https://doi.org/10.3790/ccm.18.2.240 [Citations: 1]

References

  1. Fama, Eugene F. (1970): Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work, Journal of Finance 35, 383 - 417.  Google Scholar
  2. Fama, Eugene F. and Blume, Marshall E. (1966): Filter Rules and Stock-Market Trading, Journal of Business 39, 227 - 241.  Google Scholar
  3. Hockmann, Heinz, (1979): Prognose von Aktienkursen durch Point-and-Figure-Analysen, Wiesbaden.  Google Scholar
  4. Pfeiffer, Albrecht (1980): Lehrgang der Point-and-Figure-Chart-Technik, München.  Google Scholar
  5. Schmidt, Reinhardt H. (1976): Aktienkursprognose, Wiesbaden. - Ders., 1981, Eine Widerlegung der Effizienzthese? Schmalenbachs Zeitschrift für betriebswirtschaftliche Forschung 33.1, 36 - 46.  Google Scholar
  6. Welcker, Johannes (1981): Technische Analyse durch Computertest bestätigt - Random-Walk-Theorie widerlegt, Kredit und Kapital 14, 136 - 146.  Google Scholar

Abstract

The Theory of Efficient Markets Empirically Refuted?

This article contains critical observations on Hockmann’s study on “Forecasting Share Prices by Point and Figure Analysis”. The main criticism is levelled against the fact that the definition of “yield” used by Hockmann permits no consistent comparison between the buy-and-hold strategy and the point-and-figure strategies favoured by Hockmann. The reason is that the capital basis for the yields shown is completely different for the two investment forms. Consequently the cited point-and-figure yields may be artificially exaggerated by a leverage effect and permit no conclusion as to the superiority of this investment strategy. In the following section, a consistent definition of yield is derived on the basis of the Fama/Blume method.