Wanderungen von Erwerbspersonen im vereinigten Deutschland
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Wanderungen von Erwerbspersonen im vereinigten Deutschland
Journal of Contextual Economics – Schmollers Jahrbuch, Vol. 113 (1993), Iss. 2 : pp. 273–295
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Raffelhüschen, Bernd
Abstract
In this paper we illustrated future migration of labor within the old and new 'Länder' of unified Germany with the help of numerical 'back of an envelope' calculations. Our setting was a microbased general equilibrium model. It was shown that the diverging economic conditions within reunified Germany heavily distort the choice of location of German workers. If the transfer of capital and technology does not equalize the large discrepancies rapidly, net migration of eastern workers into the west of close to 12 percent of the eastern work force by 1993, and 16 percent by 1995, is to be expected. With respect to the short run, i.e. in the following years 1991 and 1992, net inflows into the old 'Länder' will exceed the two percent level in any case.