Menu Expand

Dimensions and Determinants of Inflation Anchoring

Cite JOURNAL ARTICLE

Style

Beckmann, J., Czudaj, R. Dimensions and Determinants of Inflation Anchoring. Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung, 92(2), 31-44. https://doi.org/10.3790/vjh.92.2.31
Beckmann, Joscha and Czudaj, Robert L. "Dimensions and Determinants of Inflation Anchoring" Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 92.2, 2023, 31-44. https://doi.org/10.3790/vjh.92.2.31
Beckmann, Joscha/Czudaj, Robert L. (2023): Dimensions and Determinants of Inflation Anchoring, in: Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 92, iss. 2, 31-44, [online] https://doi.org/10.3790/vjh.92.2.31

Format

Dimensions and Determinants of Inflation Anchoring

Beckmann, Joscha | Czudaj, Robert L.

Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung, Vol. 92 (2023), Iss. 2 : pp. 31–44

1 Citations (CrossRef)

Additional Information

Article Details

Pricing

Author Details

Joscha Beckmann, FernUniversit¨at in Hagen, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Chair for Macroeconomics, Universit¨atsstr. 11, D-58097 Hagen, Germany, and Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Hindenburgufer 66, D-24105 Kiel, Germany.

  • Joscha Beckmann, Prof. Dr., ist seit 2021 Professor für Makroökonomie an der FernUniversität Hagen. Zuvor war er als Professor für Geld und Währung an der Universität Greifswald tätig. Er ist auch mit dem Institut für Weltwirtschaft in Kiel affiliert. Seine Forschungsinteressen liegen in den Bereichen Geld und Währung sowie angewandte Ökonometrie.
  • Email
  • Search in Google Scholar

Robert L. Czudaj, Technical University Bergakademie Freiberg, Faculty of Economics and Business, Chair for Economics, in particular (Monetary) Macroeconomics, Schloßplatz 1, D-09599 Freiberg, Germany, , phone: (0049)-3731 – 39 – 2030, fax: (0049)-3731 – 39 – 174092.

  • Robert L. Czudaj, Prof. Dr., ist Inhaber des Lehrstuhls für Allgemeine Volkswirtschaftslehre, insbesondere (monetäre) Makroökonomie an der Technischen Universität Bergakademie Freiberg. Zuvor war er in unterschiedlichen Positionen an der Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, der Technischen Universität Chemnitz und der Universität Duisburg-Essen tätig. Zu seinen Forschungsinteressen gehören Makroökonomik, Geldpolitik, Finanzmärkte, Wechselkurse sowie angewandte Ökonometrie. Er hat zahlreiche Artikel in international renommierten Fachzeitschriften wie dem European Economic Review, dem Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization und dem Journal of International Money and Finance veröffentlicht und ist Mitherausgeber der Fachzeitschrift International Economics and Economic Policy. Für mehr Informationen, siehe: https://sites.google.com/site/robertczudaj/
  • Email
  • Search in Google Scholar

Cited By

  1. Expectation formation and the Phillips curve revisited

    Czudaj, Robert L.

    (2024) P.1

    https://doi.org/10.1017/S1365100524000051 [Citations: 0]

References

  1. Aizenman, J. (2019): A modern reincarnation of Mundell-Fleming’s trilemma. Economic Modelling 81: 444 – 454.  Google Scholar
  2. Aizenman, J., Chinn, M. D., Ito, H. (2010): The emerging global financial architecture: Tracing and evaluating new patterns of the trilemma configuration. Journal of International Money and Finance 29: 615 – 641.  Google Scholar
  3. Aizenman, J., Chinn, M. D., Ito, H. (2013): The “impossible trinity” hypothesis in an era of global imbalances: Measurement and testing. Review of International Economics 21: 447 – 458.  Google Scholar
  4. Arellano, M. (1987): Computing robust standard errors for within-groups estimators. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 49: 431 – 434.  Google Scholar
  5. Barro, R. J., Gordon, D. B.. (1983): Rules, discretion and reputation in a model of monetary policy. Journal of Monetary Economics 12: 101 – 121.  Google Scholar
  6. Beckmann, J., Czudaj, R. L. (2023): Uncertainty shocks and inflation: The role of credibility and expectation anchoring. Working Paper: Mimeo.  Google Scholar
  7. Bems, R., Caselli, F., Grigoli, F., Gruss, B. (2021): Expectations’ anchoring and inflation persistence. Journal of International Economics 132: 103516.  Google Scholar
  8. Cukierman, A. (2008): Central bank independence and monetary policymaking institutions – Past, present and future. European Journal of Political Economy 24: 722 – 736.  Google Scholar
  9. Gürkaynak, R. S., Sack, B., Swanson, E. (2005): The sensitivity of long-term interest rates to economic news: Evidence and implications for macroeconomic models. American Economic Review 95: 425 – 436.  Google Scholar
  10. Habib, M. M., Venditti, F. (2018): The global financial cycle: Implications for the global economy and the euro area. ECB Economic Bulletin 6.  Google Scholar
  11. King, M. (1995): Credibility and monetary policy: Theory and evidence. Scottish Journal of Political Economy 42: 1 – 19.  Google Scholar
  12. Krugman, P. (1979): A model of balance-of-payments crises. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 11: 311 – 325.  Google Scholar
  13. Mehrotra, A., Yetman, J. (2018): Decaying expectations: What inflation forecasts tell us about the anchoring of inflation expectations. International Journal of Central Banking 14: 55 – 101.  Google Scholar
  14. Patton, A. J., Timmermann, A. (2010): Why do forecasters disagree? Lessons from the term structure of cross-sectional dispersion. Journal of Monetary Economics 57: 803 – 820.  Google Scholar
  15. Rey, H. (2015): Dilemma not trilemma: The global financial cycle and monetary policy independence. NBER Working Papers No. 21162.  Google Scholar
  16. Romelli, D. (2022): The political economy of reforms in Central Bank design: Evidence from a new dataset. Economic Policy 37: 641 – 688.  Google Scholar

Abstract

This paper focuses on dimensions and drivers of survey-based measures of inflation anchoring based on a panel of 82 economies over a period from 1995 to 2022. We show that different dimensions of inflation anchoring exhibit a strong co-movement but that standard deviation of inflation forecasts partly displays distinctive dynamics. We find that a weak link between anchoring and impossible trinity indexes mostly reflects variations in realized inflation.