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Felderer, B. (Ed.) (1986).
Beiträge zur Bevölkerungsökonomie.
Duncker & Humblot. https://doi.org/10.3790/978-3-428-45969-8
Felderer, Bernhard.
Beiträge zur Bevölkerungsökonomie
. Duncker & Humblot, 1986. Book. https://doi.org/10.3790/978-3-428-45969-8
Felderer, B (ed.) (1986):
Beiträge zur Bevölkerungsökonomie
, Duncker & Humblot, [online] https://doi.org/10.3790/978-3-428-45969-8
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I thought you would find this interesting: Beiträge zur Bevölkerungsökonomie Editor: Felderer, Bernhard Schriften des Vereins für Socialpolitik, Vol. 153 (1986) https://elibrary.duncker-humblot.com/doi:10.3790/978-3-428-45969-8
Beiträge zur Bevölkerungsökonomie
Editors:
Felderer, Bernhard
Schriften des Vereins für Socialpolitik
, Vol. 153
(1986)
Read now
Download (PDF)
Additional Information
Book Details
Publisher Name
Duncker & Humblot
ISBN
978-3-428-45969-8
978-3-428-05969-0
(print edition)
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3790/978-3-428-45969-8
Edition
1
Language
German
Pages
238
Subjects
Welfare & benefit systems
Table of Contents
Section Title
Page
Action
Price
Vorwort des Herausgebers
5
Inhaltsverzeichnis
9
Klaus F. Zimmermann, Mannheim: Die ökonomische Theorie der Familie
11
1. Problemstellung
11
2. Empirische Befunde zum familialen Verhalten
12
3. Ökonomische Theorie der Familie
18
3.1 Ansätze und Konzepte
18
3.2 Ein mikrotheoretisches Modell familialer Entscheidungen
20
3.3 Probleme der empirischen Modellspezifikation
24
3.4 Empirische Ergebnisse zum familien-ökonomischen Ansatz
27
3.5 Familienpolitische Maßnahmen zur Beeinflussung des generativen Verhaltens
37
4. Einige spezielle familienökonomische Aspekte
43
4.1 Die Rolle der Präferenzen
43
4.2 Mortalität und Fertilität
45
4.3 Fertilität und ökonomische Aktivität
46
4.4 Zeit- und Ressourcenallokation und Fertilität
47
4.5 Timing und Spacing
48
4.6 Sozialistische Modelle der Fertilität
49
4.7 Ökonomische Theorie der Partnerschaft
49
5. Perspektiven der Forschung
51
5.1 Bewertung des Standes der Forschung
51
5.2 Empirisch-methodische Aspekte
52
5.3 Neue Forschungsschwerpunkte
53
Literaturverzeichnis
54
Gerhard Schmitt-Rink, Bochum: Demographische Variablen in der ökonomischen Wachstumstheorie
65
A. Wachstums- und Schrumpfungsmodelle mit exogener Bevölkerung
65
I. Wirtschaftswachstum bei wachsender Bevölkerung
65
II. Wirtschaftswachstum bei schrumpfender Bevölkerung
69
B. Wachstums- und Schrumpfungsmodelle mit endogener Bevölkerungsentwicklung
71
I. Interdependenz von Bevölkerungs- und Wirtschaftsentwicklung bei konstanten Skalenerträgen
71
II. Interdependenz von Bevölkerungs- und Wirtschaftsentwicklung bei ab- und zunehmenden Skalenerträgen
74
C. Ein- und Auswanderung in ökonomischen Wachstumsmodellen
76
D. Optimales Bevölkerungswachstum
79
Literaturverzeichnis
81
Gunter Steinmann, Paderborn: Bevölkerungsentwicklung und technischer Fortschritt
85
I. Einführung
85
II. Bevölkerungs- und Einkommensentwicklung: Die Fakten
87
III. Das Malthus-Modell
91
IV. Das neoklassische Standardmodell
95
V. Das Boserup-Modell
97
VI. Das erweiterte Phelps-Modell
102
VII. Das Learning-By-Doing-Modell
105
VIII. Schlußbemerkungen
112
Literaturverzeichnis
114
Herwig Birg, Bielefeld: Interregionale demo-ökonomische Modelle für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland: Eine Zwischenbilanz
117
1. Das Erbe der „rein ökonomischen“ Modelle der Raumwirtschaftslehre
117
2. Die Zwischenstufe der Regionaldemographischen Modelle
121
2.1 Regionale Unterschiede des generativen Verhaltens und der Mortalität
121
2.2 Die Bedeutung der regionalen Mobilität für die regionale Bevölkerungsveränderung
122
3. Bevölkerungsvariablen in demo-ökonomischen Modellen mit regionaler Differenzierung
126
3.1 Begriffe und Klassifikationen
126
3.2 Bevölkerungsvariablen in interregionalen Modellen
128
(1) Raumordnungsprognose
130
(2) Die Dezisions- bzw. Optimierungsmodelle von Thoss
130
(3) Die Modelle des Verfassers
131
4. Zwei Richtungen der Modellbildung
131
4.1 Die Standpunkte
131
Standpunkt I
131
Standpunkt II
131
4.2 Räumliche Ordnung im Übergang („Ordnung auf Zeit“)
132
These 1
133
These 2
136
These 3
136
5. Ausblick
137
Literatur
138
Klaus Jaeger, FU Berlin: Konsummaximierung, Bevölkerungswachstum und Sparquote
143
Literatur
166
Winfried Schmähl, Berlin: Bevölkerungsentwicklung und soziale Sicherung – Auswirkungen demographischer Veränderungen auf die soziale Sicherung im Alter, bei Krankheit und Pflegebedürftigkeit – Ein Überblick
169
I. Vorbemerkung
169
II. Bevölkerungsentwicklung und Altersstrukturänderungen
171
1. Vorausberechnungen zur Bevölkerungsentwicklung und Bevölkerungsstruktur in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland – Modellvarianten und einige ausgewählte Ergebnisse
171
2. „Demographische Belastungsquotienten“
176
2.1 Definitionen
176
2.2 Künftige Entwicklung in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland
177
2.3 Vergleich des tatsächlichen mit früher berechneten Altenquotienten – ein Beispiel
180
2.4 Die Entwicklung des Altenquotienten in der Bundesrepublik im internationalen Vergleich
180
2.5 Entwicklung von Jugend-, Alten- und Abhängigenquotient für Deutschland in säkularer Sicht
182
3. Veränderungen der Haushaltsgrößenstruktur
182
III. Einfache Modellberechnungen zur künftigen Entwicklung der Sozialausgaben im demographischen Wandel
184
1. Sozialausgabenquote und Sozialausgabenstruktur
184
2. Zur These von der Substitution zunehmender „Altenlast“ durch abnehmende „Kinderlast“
187
IV. Auswirkungen demographischer Veränderungen auf die Alterssicherung
190
1. Gesetzliche Rentenversicherung
191
1.1 Auswirkungen auf die Finanzlage der gesetzlichen Rentenversicherung auf der Grundlage einfacher Modellberechnungen
192
1.2 Auswirkungen auf die Rentenversicherung bei Verwendung von Vorausberechnungen der Bevölkerungsentwicklung des DIW im Vergleich zu Vorausberechnungen des Statistischen Bundesamtes – zugleich zur Sensitivität von Ergebnissen
197
1.3 Änderungen in der Länge des Erwerbslebens – Lage und Dauer der Erwerbsphase sowie Variationen der „Altersgrenze“
201
1.4 Exkurs: Differenzierung der Beitragssätze in der gesetzlichen Rentenversicherung nach der Kinderzahl
204
1.5 Komplexe Vorausberechnungsmodelle für die gesetzliche Rentenversicherung
205
2. Beamtenversorgung
209
V. Auswirkungen demographischer Veränderungen auf Gesundheitswesen (Krankheit und Pflege) und Sozialhilfe
210
1. Gesetzliche Krankenversicherung
211
1.1 Ausgabenentwicklung
212
1.2 Auswirkungen auf die Finanzlage der gesetzlichen Krankenversicherung – Höhe des erforderlichen Beitragssatzes
219
2. Soziale Sicherung im Pflegefall und Sozialhilfe
221
VI. Einige Folgerungen für weitere wissenschaftliche Arbeiten
228
1. Verbesserung der Datengrundlagen
228
2. Längsschnittdaten und kohortenspezifische Analysen
229
3. Kombination ökonomischer und demographischer Modelle
230
Literaturverzeichnis
233
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