Are There Business Cycles “beyond GDP”? Alternative Measures to GDP at Business Cycle Frequencies
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Are There Business Cycles “beyond GDP”? Alternative Measures to GDP at Business Cycle Frequencies
Applied Economics Quarterly, Vol. 61 (2015), Iss. 2 : pp. 115–139
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Döpke, Jörg
Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), D-06108 Halle (Saale)/Germany.
Abstract
We discuss properties of alternatives or complements to GDP as a measure of welfare at business cycle frequencies. Our results imply that the suggested indicators show practically no cycle at all and their methodologies can be questioned. First, data are not available at an appropriate quality and frequency. Second, the suggested time series sometimes correlate negatively with each other. Third, cross-section and quasi-panel evidence based on different samples of countries reveals no impact of the stance of the business cycle on some suggested welfare measures. Therefore, alternative welfare measures do not show an equal picture on business cycle frequencies compared to GDP-based measures.
JEL Classification: D6, E01, E32, I31