Stock Repurchases, ESG Ratings and Systemic Risk in Banking
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Stock Repurchases, ESG Ratings and Systemic Risk in Banking
Vierteljahreshefte zur Arbeits- und Wirtschaftsforschung, Vol. 1 (2024), Iss. 2 : pp. 207–223
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Thomas Gehrig, University of Vienna, CEPR, ECGI, SRC, and VGSF, Department of Finance Austria
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Abstract
Seit der globalen Finanzkrise sind Aktienrückkäufe eine zunehmend beliebte Methode der Rückzahlung von Erträgen an die Eigentümer von Banken geworden. Insbesondere systemrelevante Banken nutzen Aktienrückkäufe, womit sie implizit risikobehaftetes Eigenkapital reduzieren und Insolvenzrisiken erhöhen. Während Aktienrückkäufe kurzfristige Aktionärsrenditen erhöhen, reduzieren sie andererseits langfristig die Widerstandsfähigkeit und Nachhaltigkeit der Bank. Im Falle von systemrelevanten Banken überträgt sich das Insolvenzrisiko einer Bank schnell auf das gesamte Bankensystem.
Mittlerweile wird Nachhaltigkeit mit sog. ESG-Kriterien gemessen. Mit solchen Kriterien könnte somit die grundsätzliche Frage beantwortet werden, inwieweit Aktienrückkäufe destabilisierend wirken, sowohl für die einzelne Bank als auch für das Bankensystem insgesamt. Dieser Übersichtsartikel bietet einen Überblick über die ersten aktuellen empirischen Befunde zur Beziehung zwischen Nachhaltigkeit und Risiko. Hierzu werden Studien vorgestellt, die konkret den Zusammenhang zwischen ESG-Maßen und bankspezifischen Risikomaßen analysieren, wobei der Zusammenhang zwischen ESG-Kriterien und dem systemischen Ausfallrisiko (SRISK) im Mittelpunkt der Analyse steht. Implizit stellt sich die Frage, inwiefern die Bankenaufsicht aus ESG-Maßen Informationen über die zugrundeliegenden Geschäftsmodelle der Banken entnehmen können, die eine Genehmigung von Aktienrückkäufen entweder nahelegen oder eher davor warnen.
Nach aktuellem Stand der Literatur können ESG-Kriterien spezifischer Anbieter solcher Informationen tatsächlich informativ über den effektiven Planungshorizont von Banken sein. Sie können daher grundsätzlich zu Zwecken der Bankenaufsicht zurate gezogen werden. Im Falle von Banken mit niedrigen ESG-Werten sollte die Bankenaufsicht besondere Vorsicht in der Genehmigung von Aktienrückkäufen walten lassen. Voraussetzung des Einsatzes von ESG-Innformationen ist natürlich eine sorgfältige Überprüfung des Informationswertes der spezifischen ESG-Maße mit Hinblick auf idiosynkratische Banken- und insbesondere auch Systemrisiken.
Table of Contents
Section Title | Page | Action | Price |
---|---|---|---|
Thomas Gehrig: Stock Repurchases, ESG Ratings and Systemic Risk in Banking | 207 | ||
Zusammenfassung | 207 | ||
1. Introduction | 208 | ||
2. The Evolution of Systemic Risk in Banking | 210 | ||
3. Stock Repurchases in Banking | 212 | ||
4. The Informational Content of ESG Ratings | 216 | ||
5. A Role for Policy? | 218 | ||
6. Conclusion | 219 | ||
References | 220 |