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Geopolitical Tensions and Migration

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Becker, M., Heidland, T. Geopolitical Tensions and Migration. Vierteljahreshefte zur Arbeits- und Wirtschaftsforschung, 99999(), 1-13. https://doi.org/10.3790/vaw.2025.1457603
Becker, Malte and Heidland, Tobias "Geopolitical Tensions and Migration" Vierteljahreshefte zur Arbeits- und Wirtschaftsforschung 99999., 2025, 1-13. https://doi.org/10.3790/vaw.2025.1457603
Becker, Malte/Heidland, Tobias (2025): Geopolitical Tensions and Migration, in: Vierteljahreshefte zur Arbeits- und Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 99999, iss. , 1-13, [online] https://doi.org/10.3790/vaw.2025.1457603
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Geopolitical Tensions and Migration

Becker, Malte | Heidland, Tobias

Vierteljahreshefte zur Arbeits- und Wirtschaftsforschung, Vol. (2025), Online First : pp. 1–13

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Article Details

Publisher Name
Duncker & Humblot
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3790/vaw.2025.1457603
Language
English
Pages
13
Keywords

Author Details

Malte Becker, Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Stanford University.

Tobias Heidland, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel University, IZA (corresponding author).

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Abstract

Zusammenfassung

Dieses Papier untersucht die komplexe Beziehung zwischen geopolitischen Spannungen und Migration. Wir entwickeln ein Framework, das die Wechselwirkungen zwischen den beiden Komponenten beschreibt und zeigen auf, dass geopolitische Risiken wie Kriege, Terrorismus und internationale Konflikte über drei Kanäle mit Migration verbunden sind: indem Geopolitische Risiken die Determinanten von Migrationsentscheidungen beeinflussen; indem Migration geopolitische Risiken beeinflusst; und indem Migration direkt als geopolitisches Instrument genutzt wird. Anschließend erörtern wir die möglichen Ausprägungen dieser Kanäle und diskutieren, inwieweit sie von verschiedenen Länder-Charakteristika abhängen. Wir argumentieren, dass geopolitische Risiken längerfristig mit hoher Wahrscheinlichkeit in mehr irregulärer Migration und Vertreibung mündet und betonen die Bedeutung länderübergreifender Kooperation.

Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
MSE_33 2
MSE_28 2
MSE_34 3
MSE_23 3
MSE_30 6
MSE_3 7
MSE_24 7
MSE_4 7
MSE_5 8
MSE_31 8
MSE_35 9
MSE_25 10
MSE_15 10
MSE_16 11
MSE_10 11
MSE_17 11
MSE_7 11
MSE_1 11
MSE_8 11
MSE_9 11
MSE_6 11
MSE_2 11
MSE_13 12
MSE_11 12
MSE_12 12
MSE_18 12
MSE_19 13
MSE_14 13
MSE_20 13
MSE_21 13
MSE_22 13
Geopolitical Tensions and Migration 1
Zusammenfassung 1
1. Introduction 2
2. The Effect on the Determinants of Migration 2
2.1 The Security Channel 3
2.2 The Economic Channel 4
2.3 The Policy Channel 5
3. The Effects of Migration on Geopolitics 6
4. Determinants of the Strength of Effects on Migration 8
5. Conclusion 9
References 10

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