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The Changing Geopolitics in the South Caucasus During the War in Ukraine: Chances and Risks for the Region

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Wrobel, R. The Changing Geopolitics in the South Caucasus During the War in Ukraine: Chances and Risks for the Region. Journal of Contextual Economics – Schmollers Jahrbuch, 99999(), 1-24. https://doi.org/10.3790/schm.2025.402099
Wrobel, Ralph "The Changing Geopolitics in the South Caucasus During the War in Ukraine: Chances and Risks for the Region" Journal of Contextual Economics – Schmollers Jahrbuch 99999., 2025, 1-24. https://doi.org/10.3790/schm.2025.402099
Wrobel, Ralph (2025): The Changing Geopolitics in the South Caucasus During the War in Ukraine: Chances and Risks for the Region, in: Journal of Contextual Economics – Schmollers Jahrbuch, vol. 99999, iss. , 1-24, [online] https://doi.org/10.3790/schm.2025.402099
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The Changing Geopolitics in the South Caucasus During the War in Ukraine: Chances and Risks for the Region

Wrobel, Ralph

Journal of Contextual Economics – Schmollers Jahrbuch, Online First : pp. 1–24 | First published online: June 26, 2025

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Duncker & Humblot
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3790/schm.2025.402099
Language
Multiple languages
Pages
24
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open-access https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
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Author Details

Prof. Dr. Ralph Wrobel, Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Applied Sciences Zwickau Scheffelstr. 39 08066 Zwickau,, Germany

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Abstract

Since February 2022 the geopolitical situation in the South Caucasus changed dramatically. On the one hand, EU sanctions on Russia made the Middle Corridor of the Chinese Belt and Road Initiative through the South Caucasus more attractive for China and Europe, on the other hand the protective power Russia is weakened by the war and the Western sanctions are leaving a vacuum of power in the South Caucasus. As a result, Azerbaijan was able to reconquer the region Nagorno-Karabakh. Therefore, the region is still not more an unassailable Russian backyard or sphere of interest but a place of a new great game of the main powers in the world.

Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
Ralph M. Wrobel: The Changing Geopolitics in the South Caucasus During the War in Ukraine: Chances and Risks for the Region 1
1. Introduction 1
2. Application of Geopolitical Theory in the South Caucasus 2
3. Current Political, Military and Economic Dependencies 4
3.1 Armenia 4
3.2 Georgia 6
3.3 Azerbaijan 7
4. Shifting Interests of Geopolitical Powers 8
4.1 Russia: Weakened by Restoring the Empire? 8
4.2 The EU & the United States: Neglecting the South Caucasus? 11
4.3 China: More Support for the Middle Corridor in Eurasia? 13
4.4 Turkey and Iran: Emerging Local Geopolitical Players? 15
5. Consequences 18
References: 20

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